Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Computer Pick: Boston Poised for Prime Time Win

Ceddanne Rafaela Boston Red Sox New York City
Ceddanne Rafaela #43 of the Boston Red Sox hits a two-run home run against the New York Yankees during the 10th inning at Yankee Stadium on July 05, 2024 in the Bronx borough of New York City. Luke Hales/Getty Images/AFP

There’s plenty of value on today’s Sunday MLB slate. With 15 games, it can get overwhelming trying to find the best bets. That’s why we used our AI Model to point us in the right direction. Here’s one of three bets that we’ll be stealing from the AI Model.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Sunday, July 07, 2024 – 07:10 PM ET at Yankee Stadium

The AI Model suggests the Yankees and Red Sox will tie at 4.2-4.2. Obviously, no game can finish in a tie, but with the Red Sox at +130, there’s serious value on the Red Sox to pull off an upset.

Don’t Sleeper On Kutter Crawford

The Red Sox will pitch righty Kutter Crawford. He’s struck out more than 32% of batters over the last 30 days and has limited walks to 4.2%.

While his ISO numbers are getting high, Crawford still holds his last 95 batters to a wOBA of .306. Even when he’s allowing power, it’s not always when guys are on base.

Plus, the bottom portion of the New York lineup has been quiet against righties over the last 30 days.

How Is Gil The Favorite?

On the other hand, the Yankees will pitch Luis Gil, who has allowed a .265 ISO and wOBA of .415 to his last 102 batters. Gil was terrific earlier in the season but has since fallen apart.

With Boston’s projected lineup hitting a .175 ISO and woBA of .340, the Red Sox look much better on paper for tonight’s game.

The Pick

The AI Model likes the Red Sox, as do the analytics and numbers from my perspective. Let’s back Boston at +130 for tonight’s ESPN game of the week.

MLB Pick: Red Sox ML (+130) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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