Diamondbacks vs. Padres MLB Computer Pick: San Diego and Arizona to Light It Up

Author:
Oddstrader
Matt Waldron San Diego Padres Massachusetts
Starting pitcher Matt Waldron #61 of the San Diego Padres throws during the first inning of a game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on June 30, 2024 in Boston, Massachusetts. Jaiden Tripi/Getty Images/AFP

We’ve got a full slate of games on the MLB board. With some help from the AI Model, we’ve added our favorite bets for the late portion of the slate. Here’s one of three bets you’ll want to consider at top-rated sportsbooks for tonight’s MLB action.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Saturday, July 06, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Petco Park


The AI Model suggests the Padres and Diamondbacks will add 8.7 runs tonight. Nobody would be surprised after last night’s outburst between the two teams. Therefore, backing the Over 8 at Caesars Sportsbook is the ideal play per the model.

San Diego’s Heating Up

The Padres’ projected lineup has hit a .191 ISO and wOBA of .358 against righties over the last 30 days. Even better, the Padres have only struck out 16.6% of the time with this projected lineup against righties over the last month. San Diego has been hard to get out.

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks will roll with Brandon Pfaadt, who has struck out just 18% of batters over the last 30 days. The young righty has also allowed a .198 ISO and wOBA of .345 to his previous 128 batters.

The Padres have the potential to rake tonight.

Arizona Will Get Some

The Arizona lefties look good on paper, with Matt Waldron on the mound for the Padres. Waldron has allowed a .207 ISO and wOBA of .355 to 206 lefties this season. Tonight, he’ll take on lefties like Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Joc Pederson, who have all succeeded against righties over the last 30 days with a high wOBA.

Arizona might not score as many as San Diego, but they’ll contribute to the Over.

The Pick

Let’s back the Over 8, thanks to the AI Model.

MLB Pick: Over 8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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