Brewers vs. Padres MLB Computer Pick: Pitching Duel Alert

Dylan Cease #84 of the San Diego Padres pitches during the first inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field on June 16, 2024 in New York City. Adam Hunger/Getty Images/AFP

Here’s one of three bets for tonight’s MLB slate that, according to our MLB odds, has a ton of value at top-rated sportsbooks.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick

Under 7.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

Friday, June 21, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Petco Park

Colin Rea Will Be Fine

Milwaukee’s starter, Colin Rea, is nothing special as a starter. He doesn’t earn a high strikeout rate and has given up a .180 ISO over the last month. However, he’s set to face a Padres lineup with six batters hitting an ISO of no better than .136 against righties in the last 30 days.

The Padres put the ball in play against righties, but they don’t typically get good contact with it. Rea will be fine against the Padres.

Dylan Cease Will Get Back on Track Too

On the other hand, Padres’ starter Dylan Cease has struggled recently, allowing a .225 ISO and wOBA of .361 to his last 121 batters. Cease is still racking up strikeouts and keeping walks down. However, he’s also allowed more fly balls than ground balls induced over the last month.

That said, he’ll take on a Brewers lineup that has hit a .106 ISO and wOBA of .278 in the last 30 days against righties. Cease will escape damage in this game.

The Pick

We’ll get a solid pitching matchup between Rea and Cease tonight. Consider the Under 7.5 at +100 odds.

MLB Pick: Under 7.5 (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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