Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 3 NBA Computer Pick: Dallas To Untie the Series

Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks Western Conference Second Round Playoffs Oklahoma
Kyrie Irving #11 of the Dallas Mavericks drives to the basket against Jalen Williams #8 of the Oklahoma City Thunder during the first quarter in Game Two of the Western Conference Second Round Playoffs at Paycom Center on May 09, 2024 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Joshua Gateley/Getty Images/AFP

The matchups in the second round of the NBA playoffs have been super exciting! While some results have been surprising thus far, the AI Model has been on top of it all. Before heading to our top-rated sportsbooks, here’s another play to consider from the AI Model for the second round of the playoffs.

For more of our betting analysis, check out:

NBA Pick

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

Saturday, May 11, 2024 – 03:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center

According to our AI Model, the Dallas Mavericks are projected to win 111-108 over Oklahoma City in Game 3 of the NBA Playoffs. With Dallas sitting at -165 on Caesars Sportsbook, playing the Mavericks on the moneyline is the ideal play.

Is Dallas Convincing Yet?

The Mavericks didn’t have their best showing on offense or defense in Game 2 against the Thunder. Yet, the Mavericks escaped the Thunder on the road and will head home for Game 3.

Dallas scored at least 124.2 points per 100 possessions in three of their last four games. While the defense has been terrible, it was good to see the offense shine bright against a really good Thunder defense.

The Thunder Finally Broke

Oklahoma City was dominant defensively throughout the playoffs. No team scored more than 101.1 points per 100 possessions until Game 2. Dallas didn’t even come close to 101.1 points per 100 possessions. Instead, the Mavericks scored 124.2 points per 100 possessions and shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%.

The Mavericks turned the ball over just 10.5% and added 30% of offensive rebounds. That was the second game of two where Dallas hauled in at least 30% of offensive rebounds against the Thunder.

The Pick

Dallas has caught the AI Model’s attention. Back them at home in Game 3.

NBA Pick: Mavericks ML (-165) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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