Will a Safety be Scored in Super Bowl 58? Safety Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions


The Super Bowl is finally upon us and we have an absolute barnburner in store as the Kansas City Chiefs look to successfully defend their crown against the San Francisco 49ers. One of the great things about the Super Bowl is the extent of betting opportunities that present themselves, and that even goes as far as whether there will be a safety scored. The safety is one of the rarest methods of scoring in football but they have happened multiple times in the past. So, will we see a safety in Super Bowl 58? Let’s break it all down.

Will a Safety be Scored in Super Bowl 58 odds

These are the current Super Bowl odds on whether a safety will be scored, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • A safety to be scored (+1260)
  • A safety not to be scored (-4000)

FanDuel is currently offering the best odds for a safety to be scored in Super Bowl 58 at +1260, with DraftKings and BetMGM only offering +1000 odds. However, they do have better odds on there not to be a safety scored. FanDuel has it at -4000, while BetMGM has it available at -3300. DraftKings has the best odds for that bet, though, at -2000 odds.

Find out Prop Holliday’s best Chiefs player prop bets and best 49ers player prop bets for Super Bowl 58, including one at +3300 odds!

Will a Safety be Scored in Super Bowl 58 picks and predictions

A safety to be scored in Super Bowl 58 (+1260)

I certainly wouldn’t recommend taking odds of -2000 on any sort of bet, and I do think there is some value on a safety to be scored at +1260 odds. For starters, there have been 9 safeties scored to date in 57 Super Bowls, meaning they statistically occur once every 6.33 Super Bowls. We haven’t actually seen a safety in a Super Bowl in 10 years, when the Seahawks scored one against the Broncos on the very first play of Super Bowl 48. Seattle went on to win that game 43-8. That also meant that a safety had been scored in 3 straight Super Bowls, having also occurred in Super Bowl 46 between the Giants and Patriots, and Super Bowl 47 between the Ravens and 49ers. History tells us that we’re overdue.

During the 2023 season, the 49ers have scored 1 safety while the Chiefs are yet to have one. However, Kansas City’s defense did have the 2nd-most sacks in the league with 57, while the 49ers are joint-7th on 48. Therefore, both teams have proven pass-rushes and there is every chance a player is able to break through and get the tackle in the end zone. It’s certainly a long shot, but all signs indicate that a safety being scored in the Super Bowl shouldn’t have odds as high as this. Therefore, it’s worth a sprinkle on the +1260.

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